Sunday, 30 August 2020

{Kondratieff Cycles}[26th October 1989]

[Redbook6:332][19891026:1125]{Kondratieff Cycles}[26th October 1989]

19891026.1125

Per E[ncyclopaedia] B[ritannica] 17:969

Yrs




Actual Yr

Actual Degree
Regular Cycle 64-year
C & M~

Yr
Diff
C/M~
– actual








(Top)

C
1728

U~


(
-1792
Contraction
-1792

Bottom
C
A~
1760
-32
late





{1780s
per
Hobsbawm}*





/
23
1.
1792-1850
Expansion
1792-1815*
1815
Top (Crisis)
(M~)/U~
C
1792
-23
A~
58




{1840s}*







\
35


Contraction
1815-1850
1850
Bottom
R~/(C)
{A~}
1824
-26






{1840s-1885}*







/
23
2.

Expansion
1850-1873
1873
Top (Crisis)
M~/(U~)
{C}
1856
-17
J~
46




{1855-c1897}*







\
23


Contraction
1873-1896
1896
Bottom
J~
{A~}
1888
-8














/
24
3.

Expansion
1896-1920
1920
Top (Crisis)
C
C
1920
0
G~
44












\
20


Contraction
1920-1940
1940
Bottom
M~/U~
{A~}
1952
+12


















{Expansion:
1940-c1987ff?}
*
**(‘Peaking’ is a

C
1984

R~







gradual process)









{Contraction:
1987ff}*



{A~}
2016
























C
2048

C~


*Amendments from:#
cf Stonier & Hague, A Textbook of Economic Theory, Ch275.7, ‘Schumpeter & Creative Destruction’ <901125>
+ Hobsbawm, ‘Industry & Empire’, p313 (Conclusion).

**<910203>



[continues]

[RePostedBlogger30082020]

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