{Bayesian Chance as a measure of uncertainty}[7th January 1991]

[Redbook8:173][19910107:1822d]{Bayesian Chance as a measure of uncertainty}[7th January 1991]

19910107.1822

[continued]

[A cutting in the ms of a letter in The Guardian 19901229:[p]22 headed ‘Taking our chances in a most uncertain world’, from Dr D N Fay, Dept of Mathematical Sciences, University of Durham, in response to Susan Blackmore’s article ‘Living in a Random World’ (14/12/1990), contains no ms-highlighted text but includes the following: ‘Ms Blackmore fails to mention the fundamental assumption upon which the notion of chance is based. This is the assumption that chance actually exists.... A recent trend in theory of Probability and Statistics, called the Bayesian approach, postulates that “chance” is merely a way of registering our uncertainty’.]*

(This is included for quick reference (!) in response to a series of articles, by Blackmore particularly, in The Guardian and New Scientist, which I do not think I have extracted for this journal.)[*]

*cf [[Redbook8:111][19901112:1205e][The Lure of the Paranormal][12th November 1990],] 111

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