[Redbook6:334][19891026:1125e]{Schumpeter
K [, Kondratieff, & Juglar] Cycles [continued
(3)]}[26th
October 1989]
19891026.1125
[continued]
I
speculate (and only time will show whether the K-cycle is
a 64-year period) that K is regularising sooner than J[uglar]*
because we are seeing not only the end of a series of 8 K[-]cycles
but also
the end of a series of 8 512-year (super-K?) cycles, ie a 4096 year
cycle. Obviously that means that any sub-cycle of [the] 4096-cycle
(eg 128, 256, 1024, 2048), if relevant, is also drawing to a close,
which implies a strong regularising tendency in any final cycle (eg
the 512** year cycle containing all the 64-year K cycles examined).
On
the other hand, the only complete series of 8 J-cycles is not
the final series in this 4096-cycle*** so the effect might not be so
apparent. If J-cycles no longer exist, we may never know!
****
*[See
last two previous entries.]
**[ms
has 536 (& see next entry), which must presumably be an error]
***
– only the 3rd
to last –
****Similarly,
if K cycles are accepted, they will probably be ironed out of
existence….
[continues]
[PostedBlogger04for03092020]
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