{Corrupt Practices [continued]}[14th September 1990]

[Redbook7:292-295][19900914:1619b]{Corrupt Practices [continued]}[14th September 1990]

.1619

[continued]

To put the cap on it,* the next cutting** reveals in the last paragraph*** (but needs the rest to put it in context) what I had long suspected – that the examination system is being fiddled. I assume that the writer knows what he is talking about: what teacher would dare to make up such a claim unless he was certain, certain enough to risk losing his job.

It fits: I can’t be the only person who has been amazed at the huge numbers of ‘A’ grades routinely gained nowadays – and then been staggered to meet one of these paragons in the flesh with a string of ‘A’ grades who knows nothing (or little) of value, can’t seem to think straight, can’t express himself, can’t write good English, can’t even spell!****

(This is also the reason why I don’t pay too much attention to Welsh language educationalists’ claims that ‘Bi-lingual’ education produces better examination results.)#

*[See last previous entry]

**ref [next page in ms, not reproduced in the ts or blog] 293

[The Independent 900914:19: “The ‘crazy’ man who gave up journalism for teaching[:] Anthony Vavasour is experiencing at first hand what he wrote about as an education correspondent”]

***[‘Many schools appear to be doing well despite the pressures, and point to record numbers of pupils passing exams. This is a con. All teachers, including those acting as external moderators, are part of a secret conspiracy of overly generous marking. Candidates who cannot spell or punctuate are being awarded good GCSE literature grades. Others who have done next to no work can scrape in with an F or G. To avoid the U classification – a mark of failure – schools will simply not enter weak candidates in some subjects. The resulting statistics are at best highly misleading and at worst fraudulent. The overriding aim is to make the system look good, but it is in fact failing many students.’]

****[Sez he...]

[30 years later, concerns about grade inflation are still being expressed.]

#(ref earlier)

{[[Redbook7:217-221][19900818:0955c]{Nationalism}[18th August 1990],] 217ff}

[continued]

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{Corrupt Practices}[14th September 1990]

[Redbook7:292][19900914:1619]{Corrupt Practices}[14th September 1990]

.1619

The award* of £30,000 to Colin Wallace by an independent inquiry, in recognition that the private contacting of his Civil Service Appeal Board by ministry of Defence (or MI5) men ‘probably affected the outcome of the appeal’, indicates that corruption, at least of a different (and more sinister) sort, is routine in Central Government as well as Local Government and Business.**

*(per [The] Ind[ependent] 900914:1)

**ref [[Redbook7:280][19900911:1135]{Corrupt Practices (1)}[11th September 1990],] 280

[continued]

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{Economic Cycles (2)}[14th September 1990]

[Redbook7:291][19900914:0940b]{Economic Cycles (2)}[14th September 1990]

19900914.0940

[continued]

*

**

It is necessary to define economic prosperity as occurring between bust and boom, or between downswing and upswing, as a period of ‘recovery’: since boom seems inevitably to lead to crisis at C, and bust; it is also necessary to allow for greater variation in periods for economic activity than for the others[.]*** We need to look at the underlying realities of the economy, not at the appearance, which is likely to follow by a considerable period-proportion.

*{cf [[Redbook7:279][19900911:1036b]{Economic Cycles}[11th September 1990],] 279,

[[Redbook7:320][1990090923:1945]{Economic Cycles (3)}[23rd September 1990],] 320}

**ref VI [[Redbook6:329-332][19891025:0931b]{Economic Cycles}[25th October 1989],] 329ff,

[[Redbook6:333][19891026:1125d]{Schumpeter K [, Kondratieff, & Juglar] Cycles [continued]}[26th October 1989]&/orAnt?,] 333

***(ref [[Redbook7:290][19900913:2209e]{Integration of Cycles (1)}[13th September 1990],] 290)

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{Integration of Cycles (2)}[14th September 1990]

[Redbook7:291][19900914:0940]{Integration of Cycles (2)}[14th September 1990]

19900914.0940

*Putting the four different classes of affairs together – one would expect to find something like this:

**

*[[Redbook7:290][19900913:2209e]{Integration of Cycles (1)}[13th September 1990]→]

**[See next entry. The arrow pointing vertically downwards from A~ is in red ink indicating a later insertion, and rather than being part of the diagram is likely to be directing the reader to the words “It is necessary to define economic prosperity as occurring between bust and boom, or between downswing and upswing, as a period of ‘recovery’:” in the next entry, to the centre of which it points]

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{Shaking-Out [continued]}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:290-291][19900913:2209f]{Shaking-Out [continued]}[13th September 1990]

.2209

[continued]

The Shaker peaks at G~ are not, therefore,* a part of the new system so much as a ‘shaking-out’ of the old. The Shakers, like the Quakers to whom they were at least in part related, seem to have had virtually no formal or theological structure: in the case of the American Shakers, significantly, they seem to have believed originally in the second coming of Christ in the person (in some sense) of their female leader, Ann Lee.

*

Other non-conformist and revivalist sects tended to adopt constitutions, regulations, ordinations; but not the Shakers, except of the most simple and basic kind for living communally.

(When some of the Quakers went down the road of Ordination, the movement split.)**

*(E[ncyclopaedia] B[ritannica] 10:690[:] Shakers)

**(E[ncyclopaedia] B[ritannica] 5:...[:] Friends, Society of)

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{Shaking-Out}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:290-291][19900913:2209f]{Shaking-Out}[13th September 1990]

.2209

[continued]

Compare revivalism at C-M~* with the pattern for youngsters to lose their Christian belief in the early teens:** in both cases, established or received convictions may be abandoned in the sector G~-C and replaced by something felt to be more appropriate in the first quarter-circle sector from C.***

What this is should be related to whether the new cycle is I[nner] C[ircle] (via r~) or O[uter] C[ircle] (via S~), predominantly.

*ref [[Redbook7:288][19900913:2209]{Revival Cycles (2)}[13th September 1990],] 288

**ref [[Redbook7:284][19900911:2033b]{Mid-Teens Crisis}[11th September 1990],] 284

***{Really? But surely M~-semicircle types adhere to received wisdom? – or perhaps mainly U~-quarter-circle types?

(See [[Redbook7:297-306][19900916:2115e]{Monsters: Evangelical Christians and the New Age [continued (5)]}[16th September 1990],] 305)}

[continued]

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{Integration of Cycles (1)}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:290][19900913:2209e]{Integration of Cycles (1)}[13th September 1990]

.2209

[continued]

I note that religious, or at least Christian, cycles seem to be more consistently precise than economic cycles.*

I speculate that this is connected to the fact that religion (or at least Christianity) is a characteristic of the C degree, which is closest to the Spirit which moves this wheel; whereas economic activity is a characteristic of the A~ degree, which at least on the Outer Circle (or Ellipse)** is most separated from the Spirit.

I should then expect military history, on the one hand, and secular cultural history, on the other, to show varying degrees of consistency in precision, between these two classes of cycle (ie religious, or Christian; and economic).***

*ref VI [[Redbook6:329-332][19891025:0931b]{Economic Cycles}[25th October 1989],] 329

**[See [Redbook7:273-275][19900902:2325b]{Circles and Ellipses}[2nd September 1990]]

***In practical terms, economic activity is the least spontaneous of these four classes (of which G~ & M~ are closely interlinked, even indistinguishable, eg in politics): that is, economic activity is dependent on other human activity and on natural events, as well as eg regular natural cycles, whereas by comparison genuine revivalism is spontaneous, or at least arguably so. <900914>

[& see [Redbook7:323-326][19900923:1945h]{Succession of Media in Artistic Movements}[23rd September 1990]]

[→[Redbook7:291][19900914:0940]{Integration of Cycles (2)}[14th September 1990]]

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{Revival Cycles (2) (continued)[continued]}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:289][19900913:2209d]{Revival Cycles (2) (continued)[continued]}[13th September 1990]

.2209

[continued]

To get back to the point:* here we are in 1990, during another 64C-M~/g~ sector, and it’s the rise of the Charismatic movement, the Decade of Evangelism, and an Evangelical Archbishop....

*[See last previous entry; & last previous entry but two, [Redbook7:288][19900913:2209]{Revival Cycles (2)}[13th September 1990]]

[See next entry but one]

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{Revival Cycles (2) (continued)*}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:289][19900913:2209c]{Revival Cycles (2) (continued)*}[13th September 1990]

.2209

[continued]

The pattern of [hash-marked] revivals,** which are those identified precisely in the E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] article on Revivalism*** (ie those after c1700, and basically Anglo-American), seems unmistakeable: only when the Churches start to force things do we find evangelism waves outlasting the C-M~/g~ sector of the 64-year cycle. But at G~/m~ we find a kind of pre-echo of a freer, more artistic religious spirit, with the Shakers in the first 2 cycles (c1776 and c1840), and perhaps the Flower Children of the Sixties in the most recent.

(The period from 1888 64A~**** to 1952 64A~**** is a blank in other ways too, more so in its centre. It is, of course, the 512G~ sector, so I suppose could represent some form of breakdown of patterns,# being most powerful with the C represented by international war (1914-18)#* which is more usually a sign of M~.)

*[Redbook7:288][19900913:2209]{Revival Cycles (2)}[13th September 1990]→

**[See previous last entry but one*]

***E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] 10:9

****(or do I mean A~64?!)

– Let this notation evolve!)

#(But then, if this G~ period shows less of (its own internal) patterns, why are females so much more subject to (externally imposed) patterns than males? Or are they?)

#*See elsewhere in VII.... []

[continued]

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{Testing: Identification of Significant Event-Clusters}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:289][19900913:2209b]{Testing: Identification of Significant Event-Clusters}[13th September 1990]

.2209

[continued]

(It’s interesting how the pattern* only emerges in the main E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] article on Revivalism:** in the main E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] article on Protestantism,*** the detail is too complex for any pattern to be easily discerned.

This suggests, or rather encourages (because I had already thought of it), a method of matching historical trends to the C[ircles] A[nalysis &] S[ynthesis] pattern (or not):**** let encyclopaedists and other broad-brush historians ignorant of C[ircles] A[nalysis &] S[ynthesis] identify the trends, then compare these results – which already exist – with C[ircles] A[nalysis &] S[ynthesis].)

*[See last previous entry]

**E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] 10:9

***E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] 26:205

****ie as a validity-testing procedure.

ref [[Redbook7:277][19900905:2312c]{Testing Times}[5th September 1990],] 277

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{Revival Cycles (2)}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:288][19900913:2209]{Revival Cycles (2)}[13th September 1990]

.2209

Indications* of a part-planned evangelical revival prompt me to clarify (periodically)** the Revival cycle, this time*** emphasising the periods precisely identified in the main E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] entry;**** thus:#

(512yr)	(64yr)	(Year)
	G~/m~	1712
U~	C	1728	1734-5 Conversions began in ‘G[reat] A[wakening]’ #?1720-1750 The American ‘Great Awakening’ (part of a larger revival in Europe & America) 1738 John Wesley’s ‘Aldersgate Street experience’. Rise of Methodism ↓
	M~/g~	1744	↓
	A~	1760	↓
	G~/m~	1776	(Start of success of Shakers in America)
A~	C	1792	#1795-1835 The American ‘2nd Great Awakening’
	M~/g~	1808
	A~	1824
	G~/m~	1840	(Peak of Shakers.) Revival? (See 85, above:*** per C[hannel] 4 [TV] programme?
J~	C	1856	#1857-58 American ‘Prayer Meeting Revival’ (following financial panic) #1859-61 Revival in England & Northern Ireland
	M~/g~	1872	#1873-75 Moody tours British Isles & starts new wave of Anglo-U.S. revivalism (Shakers advertising for members)
	A~	1888	#(1875-1915 Officially organised revivalism by Moody &c)
	G~/m~	1904
G~	C	1920
	M~/g~	1926
	A~	1952	#(Officially sponsored mass evangelism ‘crusades’ of Billy Graham &c [start])
	G~/m~	1968	(Only a few Shakers left)
R~	C	1984	(Rise of Charismatic movement)
	M~/g~	2000	1990-2000 ‘Decade of Evangelism’
		...

*(ref [The] Ind[ependent] 900913:16 Art: on the charismatic movement & evangelicism generally)

**[Presumably, clarifying the periodicity rather than doing it periodically]

***(cf [Ref [Redbook7:85][19900313:1528b]{Revival Cycles (1)}[13th March 1990] &ant,] 85)

****E[nyclopaedia] B[ritannica] 10:9; (10:690)[;] (26:205ff)

→[entry after next, [Redbook7:289][19900913:2209c]{Revival Cycles (2) (continued)}[13th September 1990]]

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{Lunar Cycles [continued]}[13th September 1990]

[Redbook7:287-288][19900913:1402]{Lunar Cycles [continued]}[13th September 1990]

.1402

[W] points out – in this connection* – that on Thursday (11^th Sep[ember])** we were both depressed. This may have been to do with tiredness – but it would also be the ‘A’ degree of this cycle,*** as near as no matter.

*[See last previous entry]

**([[Redbook7:278][1990090911:1036]{Fusion Child*}[11th September 1990]] 278- [[Redbook7:284][1990090911:2033b]{Mid-Teens Crisis}[11th September 1990]] 284)

***[[Redbook7:285-286][1990090913:1128]{Female Cycles}[13th September 1990]]

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