Wednesday 9 November 2022

{Insular Cycles and Interference ‘Patterns’ [continued]}[13th December 1990]

[Redbook8:125][19901213:0050b]{Insular Cycles and Interference ‘Patterns’ [continued]}[13th December 1990]


(12)

13.0050

[continued]


It is noticeable that the clearest short-period patterns* so far appear in units which, however agitated they may be from time to time internally, are relatively free from outside interference: eg ancient Egypt (a medium-period cycle, I suppose, at 512 years);** mediaeval England-with-Wales (and possibly *** Scotland –I haven’t checked)**** at 64 year cycles within 512 years; and modern Europe likewise.


I guess this may be how you define the area of your cycle:# by finding a relatively self-contained or externally undisturbed size of political territory (eg China) and trying to identify the length of periods of relative internal order and disorder. There is an implication, of course, that the larger the territory, the longer the significant periods.

#*


*[Presumably, the C[ircles] A[nalysis] & S[ynthesis] pattern]


**[Unclear to what this refers: possibly the Early Dynastic Period (c3100-c2686bce), or the Old Kingdom (c2686-c2160bce; or possibly both, in sequence, as the word ‘cycle’ in the ms has been substituted for the deleted word ‘pattern’, & 512 years clearly is not an exact measurement of any single period. c2160-c2040bce was classified as the 1st Intermediate period; c2040-1786bce as the Middle Kingdom; & 1786-1567bce as the 2nd Intermediate Period, followed by the New Kingdom until a period of relative weakness, varying fortunes & foreign domination began from about 1085bce. (Dates (which are not universally agreed) per Encylopaedia Britannica (15th Edition) 18:145ff), the most likely source used at the time of this entry.)]


***ie “-with-” <901220>


****(I haven’t checked mediaeval Europe either)


#{primary?}


#*{See also [[Redbook8:132-133][19901220:1925]{Natural & Historical Cycles}[20th December 1990],] p132}



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