{[Kondratieff ‘top’ lags]}[15th November 1990]

[Redbook8:115][19901115:2113b]{[Kondratieff ‘top’ lags]}[15th November 1990]

19901115.2113

[continued]

One possible explanation for the delays* in earlier K-cycle ‘tops’ after the regular 64-C year – the ‘top’ in 1873 was M~,** that in 1815 as late as U~*** – is that they may reflect a ‘crisis resolution’ phase as well as (/instead of?) an oscillation sub-cycle.

****

On the other hand, one would expect such a ‘crisis resolution’ phase, which effectively postpones the G~-R~-C~ (Revolution-Simplification-Crisis) symptoms until after C, to be more easily obtained through modern economic control mechanisms; but the delay actually occurs more in the earlier identified K-cycles, in the 19^th century.

*ref {VI} [[Redbook6:333][19891026:1125c]{Schumpeter K[, Kondratieff, & Juglar] Cycles}[26th October 1989],] 333 [& [Redbook8:113][19901113:1520]{Ever Decreasing Crises}[13th November 1990]]

**{cf Schumpeter’s K-cycle high point, 1857 (64C1856) instead of 1873}

***{1815 marked the end of the Napoloeonic Wars, which had begun (as the Revolutionary Wars) in 1792 (64C)}

****{(See fact note below)}#

#{ref [[Redbook8:120][19901126:1735]{Schumpeter’s Kondratieff Cycles}[26th November 1990],] 120}

{An answer to this is found in Schumpeter’s variations on the Kondratieff cycle (see [S&C printed] Booklet 10.1-3, & notes above)}

[But ?cf [Redbook8:40][19901020:0835]{The Integrated Cycle}[20th October 1990];

[Redbook8:69][19901027:2310]{Fruitfulness and Decay}**[27th October 1990]]

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